Weale: What to do when we don’t know: policy-making when spare capacity is uncertain

Could I say what a great privilege and pleasure it is to give the 2014 JSG Wilson Lecture. Professor Wilson, of course, wrote a number of key texts on money and banking. Alas it is only in the aftermath of the banking crisis that we have all learned of the importance of studying money, money mar…

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Weale: What to do when we don’t know: policy-making when spare capacity is uncertain

Europe could save up to $80 billion in energy imports as prices plunge

The European Union could save up to $80 billion in energy imports if oil prices remain low, providing some relief to households and companies in a region that has been laid low for the last five years. The price of oil LCOc1 has dropped over a quarter since the summer to below $85 per barrel, a l…

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Europe could save up to $80 billion in energy imports as prices plunge

USD Blasted by Data Disappointments, All Eyes on EURUSD 1.2800

Heading into today’s big data dump out of the US, traders were already on edge after the recent perilous drop in global equities and growing fears of Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis 2.0. Over the last few months, the US economy has always rode in on a white horse at times like this to assuage…

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USD Blasted by Data Disappointments, All Eyes on EURUSD 1.2800

USD Blasted by Data Disappointments, All Eyes on EURUSD 1.2800

Heading into today’s big data dump out of the US, traders were already on edge after the recent perilous drop in global equities and growing fears of Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis 2.0. Over the last few months, the US economy has always rode in on a white horse at times like this to assuage…

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USD Blasted by Data Disappointments, All Eyes on EURUSD 1.2800

Crude oil instability, earnings overshadow stocks

The S&P futures rallied 28.25 handles from their overnight low of 1864.50 by 11 AM CT Tuesday, only to sell off and retest the low before a closing rally that left the Emini S&P futures (ESZ14:CME) up 9.25 handles. Crude oil closed down $3.90/bbl, a sharp continuation of a downtrend that has oil down $10 in as many days. While we don’t take the oversimplified view that the stock market tracks crude, or even bonds or gold, we do notice when the factors causing crude to drop so dramatically are also factors that could affect stocks.

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Crude oil instability, earnings overshadow stocks