JPMorgan Sees 50% Chance Of ECB QE By Year-End, Will Ease More Next Week

Wondering why US and European stocks knee-jerked higher in the last hour – wonder no more. JPMorgan released a report stating they expect the ECB to ease next week, masking some policy changes next week to make TLTROs more attractive and even a slight disappointment in data may trigger sovereign QE …

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JPMorgan Sees 50% Chance Of ECB QE By Year-End, Will Ease More Next Week

The incredible shrinking Bund yield – going, going … gone?

Benchmark 10-year German government borrowing costs have never been lower, and while the prospect of them dwindling to zero and even below is highly unlikely, it is no longer inconceivable. Slowing economic growth and a seemingly relentless decline in inflation across the euro zone, including Ger…

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The incredible shrinking Bund yield – going, going … gone?

FHFA House Price Index Shows Gains for Twelve Consecutive Quarters

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced today that U.S. house prices rose 0.8 percent in the second quarter of 2014, according to its purchase-only, seasonally adjusted House Price Index (HPI). This is the twelfth consecutive quarterly price increase in the HPI. The FHFA HPI is calcu…

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FHFA House Price Index Shows Gains for Twelve Consecutive Quarters

Currency Volatility Firming

The low volatility in the currency markets has frustrated speculative investors, and dampened activity. However, as this Bloomberg-generated Great Graphic shows, implied volatility has begun firming. Participation appears to be increasing, and this is also evident in the futures market. Thre…

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Currency Volatility Firming

Orders for U.S. Durable Goods Surged in July on Aircraft Demand

Orders for U.S. durable goods jumped in July by the most on record as bookings surged for commercial aircraft. Demand for business equipment eased after the biggest gain in seven months. Bookings for goods meant to last at least three years climbed 22.6 percent after a 2.7 percent gain in June th…

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Orders for U.S. Durable Goods Surged in July on Aircraft Demand

Canada Quarterly Financial Statistics for Enterprises, 2nd Quarter2014

Canadian corporations earned $87.8 billion in operating profits in the second quarter, up 2.6% from the previous quarter. This gain followed a 3.8% increase in the first quarter. Overall, operating profits were up in 13 of 22 industries. In the non-financial sector, operating profits grew 0.8% to …

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Canada Quarterly Financial Statistics for Enterprises, 2nd Quarter2014

Intraday Outlook For USD Index, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/JPY – SEB

The following are the intraday outlooks for USD Index, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, and AUD/JPY as provided by the technical strategy team at SEB Group. USD Index: Caution if ending below 82.45. The greenback is clearly in an overbought status currently trading outside both the 55d as well as the 233d Bol…

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Intraday Outlook For USD Index, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/JPY – SEB

Scotland’s pro-independence leader steamrolls final TV debate before vote

Scotland’s pro-independence leader Alex Salmond won a final TV debate on Monday just over three weeks before a historic breakaway referendum, but it wasn’t clear if his combative performance would help him catch up in the polls. In a bruising debate before the Sept. 18 referendum, Salmond relentl…

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Scotland’s pro-independence leader steamrolls final TV debate before vote

3 Numbers: US durable goods surge, US house prices, US 10-year yield

It’s a slow day for economic news in Europe, so the moderately busy schedule for US numbers will grab the crowd’s attention with updates on new orders for durable goods and real estate prices through the Case-Shiller House Price Index. Meanwhile the 10-year Treasury yield deserves monitoring as a…

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3 Numbers: US durable goods surge, US house prices, US 10-year yield