3 Numbers: BoE set on rate rise — US chain stores, housing starts

The game of anticipating when the Bank of England will start raising interest rates is in play again today with the update on consumer price inflation for the UK. In the US, the focus will turn to the housing sector, which has been wobbly lately. Today’s update on new residential construction will…

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3 Numbers: BoE set on rate rise — US chain stores, housing starts

Golf, Private Jets: How Australia’s Casinos Woo Chinese

Australians once rioted against Chinese migrants attracted by a 19th-century gold rush. Sydney’s sole casino now depends on the city’s Asian ties for high-rollers who provide almost a third of its sales. Echo Entertainment Group Ltd. (EGP) is considering buying a golf course for a resort south of…

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Golf, Private Jets: How Australia’s Casinos Woo Chinese

The decline in the labour force participation rate in the United States

The labour force participation rate in the US has fallen dramatically since 2007. This column traces this decline to three main factors: the ageing of the population, cyclical effects from the Great Recession, and an unexplained portion, which might be due to pre-existing trends unrelated to the…

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The decline in the labour force participation rate in the United States

Even With Extended Positions No Euro Short Squeeze – Analysts

Speculative net euro short positions are deemed at extended levels, the lions’ share of the market is a euro bear and the euro can not seem to move lower and yet none of these things has resulted in a euro short squeeze, traders said. While the euro is not going down to the degree that the mark…

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Even With Extended Positions No Euro Short Squeeze – Analysts

Bond Liquidity Risk in $3.5 Trillion Funds Defused by Cash

The record $3.5 trillion stockpiled in U.S. fixed-income funds is raising the specter the bond market will buckle under the strain of redemptions once interest rates rise. Simple math suggests there’s little need to worry. While fund assets have almost doubled since the financial crisis, their si…

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Bond Liquidity Risk in $3.5 Trillion Funds Defused by Cash

When Packing for Jackson Hole, Include These Economic Reports

As central bankers, economists, finance ministers and other officials from around the globe get set to gather at Jackson Hole, Wyo., this coming Thursday, the world’s largest economy is coming off the best six-month run of job gains since early 2006. It’s fitting then that the Federal Reserve Ban…

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When Packing for Jackson Hole, Include These Economic Reports

When Packing for Jackson Hole, Include These Economic Reports

As central bankers, economists, finance ministers and other officials from around the globe get set to gather at Jackson Hole, Wyo., this coming Thursday, the world’s largest economy is coming off the best six-month run of job gains since early 2006. It’s fitting then that the Federal Reserve Ban…

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When Packing for Jackson Hole, Include These Economic Reports

Stocks roar, bonds tank and currency traders, well….sleep

You can’t make markets move if they don’t want to and while there were massive ructions in stocks and bonds overnight currency traders in the big pairs really did very little. Certainly the Euro reversed a little of its recent pickup but it is still in this indeterminant period where it is either…

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Stocks roar, bonds tank and currency traders, well….sleep

NZD/USD touches 0.85 level

Already from 5th of August the New Zealand’s currency has been trading below the 0.85 level and it has tried to surpass this level repeatedly; although, unsuccessfully. As the daily technical indicators are bearish a decline below the weekly PP at 0.8468 is likely. Also the pair’s failures around 0…

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NZD/USD touches 0.85 level

UK inflation to ease in July amid BoE’s wage growth conundrum

Consumer price inflation is expected to float below the official target of 2% until the third quarter of 2017, according to Bank of England’s (BoE) August Inflation Report medium-term forecasts. The rate of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in Britain remains subdued partly due to sterling’s s…

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UK inflation to ease in July amid BoE’s wage growth conundrum

UK inflation to ease in July amid BoE’s wage growth conundrum

Consumer price inflation is expected to float below the official target of 2% until the third quarter of 2017, according to Bank of England’s (BoE) August Inflation Report medium-term forecasts. The rate of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in Britain remains subdued partly due to sterling’s s…

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UK inflation to ease in July amid BoE’s wage growth conundrum

Option Open Interest Effects On Expiration Price Pinning: Is It Real?

I personally don’t believe in the “max. pain” theory of pinning, seeing it as an illusion instead. Here’s why: Except for a very few traders who are using ITM options as a means of entering or exiting a stock trade, everyone else has generally exited their ITM options prior to expiration day. …

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Option Open Interest Effects On Expiration Price Pinning: Is It Real?